WASHINGTON: Projecting that trade and technology relations between India and the US would thrive in the coming years, the political leadership in New Delhi will avoid transformation of close ties into some sort of an "alliance" framework, an American intelligence report said.
The report of the Director of National Intelligence 'Global Trends 2025' has said that Indian policymakers are convinced that US capital, technology, and goodwill are essential to India's continued rise as a global power. The Indian leaders, however, probably will avoid ties that could resemble an "alliance relationship" with the US, the report said.
"The US will remain one of India's largest export destinations, the key to international financial institutions such as the World Bank and foreign commercial lending, and the largest source of remittances," it said. "The Indian Diaspora composed largely of highly skilled professionals will remain a key element in deepening US-Indian ties.
The Indian market for US goods will grow substantially as New Delhi reduces restrictions on trade and investment. India's military also will be eager to benefit from expanded defense ties with Washington," it said. "India probably will continue to enjoy relatively rapid economic growth and will strive for a multi-polar world in which New Delhi is one of the poles.
China and India must decide the extent to which they are willing and capable of playing increasing global roles and how each will relate to the other. "No other countries are projected to rise to the level of China, India, or Russia, and none is likely to match their individual global clout. We expect, however, to see the political and economic power of other countries such as Indonesia, Iran, and Turkey increase," the report added.
"China and India will at times be reticent and at other times impatient to assume larger roles on the world stage. In 2025, both will still be more concerned about their own internal development than changing the international system," the report said. "China and India are expected in 10 years to achieve near parity with the US in two different areas: scientific and human capital (India) and government receptivity to business innovation (China). China and India will narrow significantly but not close the gap in all remaining factors," it said.
"Companies in China, India, and other major developing countries have unique opportunities to be the first to develop a host of emerging technologies. This is especially the case in those instances where companies are building infrastructure and not burdened by historical patterns of development. "We believe India will scramble to ensure access to energy by making overtures to Burma, Iran, and Central Asia. Pipelines to India transiting restive regions may connect New Delhi to local instabilities," the Intelligence assessment looking into the future has maintained.
"The emerging powers, particularly China and India, have a shared interest in maintaining a stable and open order, but they espouse different "means."
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